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Strong Plays Record
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Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
107
Total Found
59
Shown
59
Actionable
3
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Christian Yelich 3/3 MIL @ SD DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.63
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
MIL @ SD
10:00 PM ET
Final
L
52 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 TB @ NYY 1B
LHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 2.80
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
TB @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
53 Jonny DeLuca 3/3 TB @ NYY CF
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 2.80
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
TB @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
54 Kyle Tucker 3/3 LAD @ ATL RF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.99
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
LAD @ ATL
6:00 PM ET
Final
L
55 Manny Machado 3/3 MIL @ SD 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
MIL @ SD
10:00 PM ET
Final
L
56 Ben Rice 3/3 TB @ NYY DH
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 3.10
Hits 1.5 +265 22.6 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.4% 5.9% 1
TB @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
57 Chase DeLauter 3/3 CLE @ CWS RF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
CLE @ CHW
4:00 PM ET
Final
L
58 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ SD C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.63
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
MIL @ SD
10:00 PM ET
Final
L
59 Yandy Diaz
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TB @ NYY DH
RHB vs LHP
Good 80%
ERA 2.80
Hits 1.5 +225 19.2 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.8% 2.6% 1
TB @ NYY
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–59 of 59 plays
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