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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Oct 6 – Oct 12 →
Wins
8
Losses
8
Push
2
Win %
50%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
69
Total Found
32
Shown
32
Actionable
12
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Patrick Bailey ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs 1.5 +2000 145.2 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 4.8% 95.2% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
2 José Ramírez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Home Runs 0.5 +1600 144.1 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 5.9% 94.1% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
3 José Ramírez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs 1.5 +1100 141.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 8.3% 91.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
4 Patrick Bailey ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +1100 141.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 8.3% 91.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
5 Steven Kwan ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs 1.5 +1100 141.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 8.3% 91.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
6 Travis Bazzana ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +1100 141.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 8.3% 91.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
7 Jackson Chourio ELITE 3/3 LAD @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +1000 140.9 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 9.1% 90.9% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
8 José Ramírez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 140.9 3, 3, 3
3/3
100.0%
 9.1% 90.9% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
9 Jo Adell ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 137.5 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 12.5% 87.5% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
10 Nathaniel Lowe ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Hits 1.5 +340 127.3 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 22.7% 77.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
11 José Ramírez ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ TB 3B
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Hits 1.5 +280 123.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 26.3% 73.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
12 Patrick Bailey ELITE 3/3 CLE @ TB C
S vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Hits 1.5 +230 119.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
13 Max Muncy 3/3 LAD @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Home Runs 0.5 +1600 94.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 5.9% 60.8% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
14 Freddie Freeman 3/3 LAD @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
15 Max Muncy 3/3 LAD @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +850 89.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 10.5% 56.1% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
16 Max Muncy 3/3 LAD @ MIL 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Total Bases 1.5 +850 89.5 4, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
 10.5% 56.1% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
17 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 CLE @ TB 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.60
 Total Bases 1.5 +800 88.9 1, 2, 4
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
18 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 CLE @ TB 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.60
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +750 88.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.8% 54.9% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
19 Andy Pages 3/3 LAD @ MIL CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 20.8% 45.8% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
20 Freddie Freeman 3/3 LAD @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Total Bases 1.5 +380 79.2 0, 4, 5
2/3
66.7%
 20.8% 45.8% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
21 Christian Yelich 3/3 LAD @ MIL DH
LHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
 Total Bases 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 25.0% 41.7% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
22 Andy Pages 3/3 LAD @ MIL CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.47
 Total Bases 1.5 +250 71.4 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 28.6% 38.1% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
23 Jackson Chourio 3/3 LAD @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.53
 Hits 0.5 +250 71.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 28.6% 38.1% N/A
LAD @ MIL
5:00 PM ET
Final
24 David Fry
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 CLE @ TB 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.67
 Hits 0.5 +175 63.6 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 36.4% 30.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
25 Ryan Vilade
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB RF
RHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.60
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 10.0% 23.3% N/A
CLE @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
Showing 1–25 of 32 plays
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