📡 SCORES
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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Sep 27 – Oct 26 →
Wins
31
Losses
38
Push
3
Win %
44.9%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-10-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
34
Total Found
17
Shown
17
Actionable
1
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 William Contreras ELITE 3/3 MIL @ TB C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Total Bases 1.5 +151 110.2 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
39.8% 60.2% 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
2 Liam Hicks
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ TB C
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 90.9 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
9.1% 57.6% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
3 David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Total Bases 1.5 +280 73.7 0, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
4 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ TB C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 3
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
5 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB PH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Total Bases 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
6 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 4
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
7 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Total Bases 1.5 +170 63.0 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
37.0% 29.6% 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
8 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIL @ TB LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Total Bases 1.5 +125 55.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
44.4% 22.2% 5
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
W
9 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Total Bases 1.5 +125 55.6 1, 2, 5
2/3
66.7%
44.4% 22.2% 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
10 David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1100 41.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
8.3% 25.0% 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
11 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Runs 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
12 David Hamilton 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
13 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ TB PH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
17.4% 15.9% N/A
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
14 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Runs Batted In 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.0% 13.3% 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
15 Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ TB RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.42
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
16 Jonathan Aranda 3/3 MIL @ TB 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L
17 Junior Caminero 3/3 MIL @ TB 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 0
MIL @ TB
8:00 PM ET
Final
L