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Strong Plays Record
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-11-09 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): PASS YDS ≥ 240  ·  RUSH YDS ≥ 55  ·  REC YDS ≥ 45  ·  REC ≥ 4    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
24
Total Found
16
Shown
16
Actionable
0
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Josh Allen 3/3 BUF @ MIN PASS TDS 1.5 +148 59.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
40.3% 26.3% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
2 Josh Allen 3/3 BUF @ MIN PASS CMP 20.5 +120 54.5 21, 23, 12
2/3
66.7%
45.5% 21.2% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
3 Dalton Kincaid 3/3 BUF @ MIN Receptions 3.5 +110 52.4 4, 7, 1
2/3
66.7%
47.6% 19.0% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
4 DJ Moore
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BUF @ MIN REC YDS 49.5 -105 48.8 82, 11, 67
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
5 DJ Moore
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BUF @ MIN Receptions 3.5 -105 48.8 4, 1, 6
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
6 Josh Allen 3/3 BUF @ MIN PASS ATT 30.5 -105 48.8 34, 33, 19
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
7 Josh Allen 3/3 BUF @ MIN Interceptions 0.5 -105 48.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
8 Jordan Addison
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BUF @ MIN REC YDS 43.5 -109 47.8 66, 20, 52
2/3
66.7%
52.2% 14.5% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
9 Jordan Mason
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BUF @ MIN RUSH YDS 49.5 -109 47.8 20, 68, 59
2/3
66.7%
52.2% 14.5% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
10 Josh Allen 3/3 BUF @ MIN PASS YDS 230.5 -110 47.6 289, 255, 210
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
11 Khalil Shakir 3/3 BUF @ MIN REC YDS 41.5 -110 47.6 64, 34, 80
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
12 Jordan Mason
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BUF @ MIN RUSH ATT 11.5 -121 45.2 8, 15, 15
2/3
66.7%
54.8% 11.9% N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
13 Josh Allen 3/3 BUF @ MIN Anytime Touchdown 0.5 -120 N/A -
N/A
N/A N/A N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
14 Justin Jefferson 3/3 BUF @ MIN Anytime Touchdown 0.5 +165 N/A -
N/A
N/A N/A N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
15 Keon Coleman 3/3 BUF @ MIN Anytime Touchdown 0.5 +500 N/A -
N/A
N/A N/A N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled
16 T.J. Hockenson 3/3 BUF @ MIN Anytime Touchdown 0.5 +245 N/A -
N/A
N/A N/A N/A
BUF @ MIN
8:15 PM ET
Scheduled