Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

NBA

Top Over

Maxime Raynaud

PTS • +11.1 • 100

Top Under

Demar Derozan

PTS • -8.3 • 100

Top Fade

Jalen Brunson

AST • +0.5 • 31

Top 1

Maxime Raynaud

PTS • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +8.5 | Edge: +11.1

Top 2

Demar Derozan

PTS • TOP UNDER
Conf: 100 | Trend: -10.2 | Edge: -8.3

Top 3

Saddiq Bey

3PM • OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Josh Hart

PTS • TOP OVER
Conf: 85 | Trend: +4.9 | Edge: +7.0

Top 5

Coby White

PTS • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +5.6 | Edge: +6.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Maxime Raynaud	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	28.0	19.5	16.9	100	TOP OVER	+8.5	+11.1	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Demar Derozan	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	8.3	18.5	16.6	100	TOP UNDER	-10.2	-8.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
3	Saddiq Bey	3/3	NOP @ NOP	3PM	4.0	2.0	2.5	88	OVER	+2.0	+1.5	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
4	Josh Hart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NOP @ NYK	PTS	18.7	13.8	11.7	85	TOP OVER	+4.9	+7.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Coby White	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	21.0	15.4	15.0	83	TOP OVER	+5.6	+6.0	Big upward move with clear room over the line.
	Brandon Miller	3/3	SAC @ CHA	3PM	4.7	3.0	3.2	80	OVER	+1.7	+1.5	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Josh Hart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NOP @ NYK	3PM	3.0	1.5	1.5	77	OVER	+1.5	+1.5	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Lamelo Ball	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	26.3	21.6	20.8	76	TOP OVER	+4.7	+5.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Saddiq Bey	3/3	NOP @ NOP	AST	4.7	2.7	2.5	65	OVER	+2.0	+2.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Maxime Raynaud	3/3	SAC @ CHA	3PM	1.7	0.5	0.5	62	OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Dejounte Murray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NOP @ NOP	AST	8.0	6.2	6.1	59	OVER	+1.8	+1.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dejounte Murray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NOP @ NOP	3PM	2.7	1.7	1.5	58	OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Saddiq Bey	3/3	NOP @ NOP	PTS	21.3	18.1	17.6	57	TOP OVER	+3.2	+3.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Miller	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	3.7	6.1	5.5	57	UNDER	-2.4	-1.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kon Knueppel	3/3	SAC @ CHA	3PM	2.3	3.2	3.5	56	UNDER	-0.9	-1.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jose Alvarado	3/3	NOP @ NYK	PTS	8.7	4.1	6.7	54	TOP OVER	+4.6	+2.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dejounte Murray ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NOP @ NOP	PTS	21.3	18.7	16.5	53	OVER	+2.6	+4.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Coby White	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	4.7	3.1	2.5	52	OVER	+1.6	+2.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Killian Hayes	3/3	SAC @ CHA	AST	2.3	3.3	4.5	52	UNDER	-1.0	-2.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Coby White	3/3	SAC @ CHA	3PM	3.0	1.9	2.2	52	OVER	+1.1	+0.8	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Jose Alvarado	3/3	NOP @ NYK	3PM	2.0	0.6	1.5	51	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Grant Williams	3/3	SAC @ CHA	3PM	0.7	1.7	1.5	51	UNDER	-1.0	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Trey Murphy Iii	3/3	NOP @ NOP	AST	2.3	4.0	3.5	48	UNDER	-1.7	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jordan Clarkson	3/3	NOP @ NYK	3PM	0.3	0.8	1.5	48	UNDER	-0.5	-1.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Miles Bridges	3/3	SAC @ CHA	AST	1.0	2.2	2.5	46	UNDER	-1.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Coby White	3/3	SAC @ CHA	AST	5.0	3.8	3.7	43	OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremiah Fears	3/3	NOP @ NOP	3PM	0.7	1.3	1.5	43	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Lamelo Ball	3/3	SAC @ CHA	3PM	4.7	4.3	3.6	43	OVER	+0.4	+1.1	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Karl-anthony Towns	3/3	NOP @ NYK	PTS	24.7	22.7	21.4	40	OVER	+2.0	+3.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Precious Achiuwa	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	12.0	16.1	13.3	39	UNDER	-4.1	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jalen Brunson	3/3	NOP @ NYK	REB	2.0	3.3	3.3	39	UNDER	-1.3	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Lamelo Ball	3/3	SAC @ CHA	AST	7.3	5.7	6.8	39	OVER	+1.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mikal Bridges	3/3	NOP @ NYK	AST	4.3	3.0	3.5	39	OVER	+1.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Killian Hayes	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	4.0	3.0	2.5	38	OVER	+1.0	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Derik Queen	3/3	NOP @ NOP	PTS	9.3	7.1	6.7	37	OVER	+2.2	+2.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Kalkbrenner	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	9.7	7.5	7.0	37	OVER	+2.2	+2.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Karl-anthony Towns	3/3	NOP @ NYK	REB	14.0	13.1	12.5	37	OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kon Knueppel	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	16.0	18.2	18.4	36	UNDER	-2.2	-2.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sion James	3/3	SAC @ CHA	AST	2.7	1.9	1.5	36	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Miles Bridges	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	12.7	14.5	15.2	35	UNDER	-1.8	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Malik Monk	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	1.0	1.7	2.5	35	UNDER	-0.7	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jalen Brunson	3/3	NOP @ NYK	3PM	1.7	1.9	2.5	35	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Zion Williamson	3/3	NOP @ NOP	PTS	18.0	20.7	19.7	34	UNDER	-2.7	-1.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Grant Williams	3/3	SAC @ CHA	PTS	4.3	6.5	6.5	34	UNDER	-2.2	-2.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Demar Derozan	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	1.3	2.3	2.5	34	UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Kalkbrenner	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	3.3	4.3	4.5	34	UNDER	-1.0	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Karl-anthony Towns	3/3	NOP @ NYK	AST	2.0	3.3	2.5	34	UNDER	-1.3	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Precious Achiuwa	3/3	SAC @ CHA	AST	0.7	1.5	1.5	32	UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jalen Brunson	3/3	NOP @ NYK	AST	7.0	9.3	6.5	31	FADE UNDER	-2.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
	Maxime Raynaud	3/3	SAC @ CHA	REB	7.7	8.3	8.7	29	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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