Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Mar 30 – Apr 5 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

121

MLB

Top Over

Ryan O'hearn

RBI • +0.8 • 53

Top Under

Alex Bregman

HR • -1.3 • 92

Top Fade

Gabriel Arias

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.3

Top 2

Ian Happ

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -1.3

Top 3

Chase Delauter

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 85 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -1.0

Top 4

Angel Martinez

H • UNDER
Conf: 74 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.5

Top 5

Chase Delauter

TB • UNDER
Conf: 65 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -2.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.5	1.3	92	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
2	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
3	Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.7	1.3	85	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Angel Martinez	3/3	CHC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.6	1.5	74	UNDER	-0.6	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
5	Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.4	2.5	65	UNDER	-0.4	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.5	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Henry Davis	3/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Angel Martinez	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gabriel Arias	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.2	1.3	62	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.2	2.5	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.4	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Steven Kwan	3/3	CHC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.7	1.0	60	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	BAL @ PIT	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.4	1.0	52	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ PIT	H	0.3	0.5	1.5	52	UNDER	-0.2	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	BAL @ PIT	H	1.7	0.9	1.0	51	OVER	+0.8	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CHC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.4	0.9	49	UNDER	-0.4	-0.9	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	CHC @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	BAL @ PIT	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.3	1.3	44	FADE OVER	+0.0	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ PIT	H	0.3	0.8	1.0	43	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	3.2	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.2	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Angel Martinez	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	3.2	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.2	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	3.2	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.2	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Carson Kelly	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	3.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	3.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	3.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	3.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-3.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Gabriel Arias	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Henry Davis	3/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.7	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	2.6	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.6	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	2.6	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.6	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	2.6	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.6	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	2.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Jose Ramirez	3/3	CHC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	2.5	38	WATCH	0.0	-2.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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