Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

714

MLB

Top Over

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Alex Bregman

HR • -1.3 • 87

Top Fade

Gabriel Arias

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Xavier Edwards

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Cj Abrams	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
5	Xavier Edwards	3/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.5	86	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kerry Carpenter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.5	83	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.7	1.0	83	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	George Springer	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wilyer Abreu	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	1.0	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	2.0	1.1	1.0	73	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ TOR	H	2.0	1.1	1.0	73	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	2.3	1.6	1.0	72	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	H	2.0	1.2	1.0	71	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Josh Bell	3/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ramon Laureano	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jesus Sanchez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Xavier Edwards	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	2.3	1.8	1.0	67	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andres Gimenez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.4	2.7	65	UNDER	-0.4	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.4	2.6	65	UNDER	-0.4	-2.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	LAD @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.4	2.5	65	UNDER	-0.4	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	0.3	1.3	1.0	64	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	1.7	0.7	1.0	64	TOP OVER	+1.0	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Connor Norby	3/3	CIN @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.3	2.7	63	UNDER	-0.3	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.3	2.5	63	UNDER	-0.3	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ben Williamson	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brady House	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Connor Norby	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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