Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Mar 24 – Apr 6 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

714

MLB

Top Over

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Alex Bregman

HR • -1.3 • 87

Top Fade

Gabriel Arias

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Xavier Edwards

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Fraley	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan India	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Otto Lopez	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Roman Anthony	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trevor Story	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brooks Lee	3/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jacob Young	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.0	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	H	1.7	0.8	1.0	62	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Gabriel Arias	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.2	1.3	62	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kerry Carpenter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.7	0.2	1.3	62	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.2	1.3	62	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.2	2.7	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	LAD @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.2	2.7	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	CIN @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.2	2.6	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.2	2.5	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.2	2.5	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.2	2.5	61	UNDER	-0.2	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.4	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.4	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.4	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.4	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.4	1.3	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	CIN @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.1	2.9	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.9	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	2.7	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	2.7	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	2.7	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	2.7	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.1	2.6	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.1	2.6	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.1	2.5	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.1	2.5	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.1	2.5	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	LAD @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.1	2.5	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.1	2.5	60	UNDER	-0.1	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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