Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 6 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

714

MLB

Top Over

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Alex Bregman

HR • -1.3 • 87

Top Fade

Gabriel Arias

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Xavier Edwards

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	1.0	0.6	1.0	WATCH	+0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	1.0	0.6	1.0	WATCH	+0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	1.4	1.0	WATCH	-0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Naylor	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	1.0	0.7	1.0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.7	0.6	0.9	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	MIL @ BOS	H	1.0	0.7	1.0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.7	1.0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.7	1.0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.5	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	0.9	WATCH	+0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.0	0.8	0.9	WATCH	+0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	MIL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Wallner	3/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	0.8	1.0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	1.0	0.8	1.0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	1.0	1.2	1.0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	1.0	0.8	1.0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	1.0	0.8	1.0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ BOS	H	1.0	0.8	1.0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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