Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

714

MLB

Top Over

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Alex Bregman

HR • -1.3 • 87

Top Fade

Gabriel Arias

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Freddie Freeman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -0.4 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5

Xavier Edwards

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	H	0.0	0.6	1.0	58	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CIN @ MIA	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.5	57	UNDER	-1.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Arias	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.3	1.3	56	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cj Abrams	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.7	0.3	1.3	56	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.5	1.0	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	CIN @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	1.3	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	0.0	0.4	1.0	52	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	0.0	0.4	1.0	52	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	2.0	0.9	1.6	51	OVER	+1.1	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	1.7	0.9	1.0	51	OVER	+0.8	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	1.6	51	UNDER	-0.4	-0.9	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.0	0.3	1.0	50	UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	0.3	1.0	1.0	49	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ MIN	H	0.3	1.0	1.0	49	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	0.3	1.0	1.0	49	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
James Wood	3/3	STL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	LAD @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.2	1.3	49	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.3	0.8	1.1	47	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.3	0.8	1.1	47	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	1.0	47	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brady House	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.9	1.0	46	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ BOS	H	0.3	0.9	1.0	46	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	LAD @ TOR	H	0.3	0.9	1.0	46	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.9	1.0	46	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ramon Laureano	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	0.3	0.9	1.0	46	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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