Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

839

MLB

Top Over

James Wood

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

H • -1.2 • 67

Top Fade

Andy Pages

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

James Wood

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Brent Rooker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Xander Bogaerts

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Willi Castro

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Matt Chapman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	SD @ PIT	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	CHC @ TB	H	1.0	1.4	1.0	0	WATCH	-0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	LAD @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	SD @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eli White ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Harrison Bader	3/3	PHI @ SF	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Tena	3/3	STL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	PHI @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis	3/3	DET @ MIN	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ NYY	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	KC @ CLE	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	CIN @ MIA	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mark Vientos	3/3	AZ @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	HOU @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	ATL @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	BAL @ CWS	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corey Seager	3/3	SEA @ TEX	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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