Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

787

MLB

Top Over

Jake Burger

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Mickey Moniak

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jake Mangum

H • -0.8 • 25

Top 1

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jeremiah Jackson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Mike Trout

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Spencer Steer	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Correa	3/3	COL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	TB @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lockridge	3/3	TOR @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	BAL @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	KC @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Aaron Judge	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson	3/3	TB @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	WSH @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Derek Hill	3/3	TB @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Derek Hill	3/3	TB @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Giancarlo Stanton	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan India	3/3	KC @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	TB @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Caballero	3/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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