Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 16 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

787

MLB

Top Over

Jake Burger

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Mickey Moniak

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jake Mangum

H • -0.8 • 25

Top 1

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jeremiah Jackson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Trent Grisham

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Mike Trout

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Mike Trout

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.p. Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lenyn Sosa	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain	3/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	TEX @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	TB @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Yorke	3/3	WSH @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	TOR @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Haggerty ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Denzel Clarke	3/3	TEX @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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