Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Apr 20 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

851

MLB

Top Over

Masyn Winn

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Mike Trout

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Matt Vierling

H • -0.5 • 28

Top 1

Masyn Winn

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Brayan Rocchio

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Austin Riley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Mike Trout

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 78 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ SEA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	BAL @ KC	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	DET @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	STL @ MIA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	CIN @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	TOR @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Neto	3/3	TOR @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.7	1.1	0.8	26	UNDER	-0.4	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Denzel Clarke	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	STL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	ATL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	HOU @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Connor Norby	3/3	STL @ MIA	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
James Wood	3/3	ATL @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ MIA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ KC	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	LAD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jorge Soler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	BAL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House	3/3	ATL @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	CIN @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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