Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 26 – May 2 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

47.1%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1337

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

H • +2.0 • 96

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Pete Crow-armstrong

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nathan Church	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ MIN	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	KC @ SEA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	SF @ TB	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	SF @ TB	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	KC @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarren Duran	3/3	HOU @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Walker	3/3	LAD @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Lowe	3/3	NYM @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Shaw	3/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	CWS @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	KC @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ TB	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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