Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1293

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

H • +1.7 • 100

Top Under

Andres Gimenez

H • -2.0 • 87

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +1.2 • 35

Top 1

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.7

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.7

Top 3

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jordan Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Austin Wynns ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	TEX @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Tena	3/3	MIL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lenyn Sosa	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Benson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ COL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Michael Busch	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	CLE @ OAK	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Troy Johnston	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Barrosa	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Mateo	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Friedl	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ TB	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	TOR @ MIN	H	1.0	1.3	0.8	4	WATCH	-0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	1.0	0.7	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	1.3	1.2	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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