Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1293

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

H • +1.7 • 100

Top Under

Andres Gimenez

H • -2.0 • 87

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +1.2 • 35

Top 1

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.7

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.7

Top 3

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jordan Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	1.0	1.0	0.8	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	CLE @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rob Refsnyder ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ SEA	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Fraley	3/3	SF @ TB	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Wood	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	SF @ TB	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Smith	3/3	TEX @ DET	H	0.7	0.7	0.8	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ DET	H	0.7	0.7	0.8	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.8	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	MIL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ SD	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	1.3	1.2	1.3	WATCH	+0.1	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa	3/3	HOU @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eli White	3/3	ATL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	LAD @ STL	H	1.0	1.0	0.9	WATCH	0.0	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Soler	3/3	NYM @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	CWS @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mj Melendez	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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