Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 12 – May 11 →

Wins

107

Losses

130

Push

Win %

45.1%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

538

MLB

Top Over

Luke Raley

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Christian Vazquez

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Luke Raley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Heliot Ramos

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Ernie Clement

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 78 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Ben Rice

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 77 | Trend: -0.9 | Edge: -1.1

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.6	1.0	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.7	0.6	0.9	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	AZ @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.8	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Teodosio	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Matthews	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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