Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 14 – May 13 →

Wins

112

Losses

136

Push

Win %

45.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1316

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Andy Pages

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Willy Adames

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Oneil Cruz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	H	1.0	1.1	1.3	22	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	1.0	21	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ CIN	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
William Contreras	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Harrison Bader ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	AZ @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	AZ @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Vazquez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Torrens	3/3	DET @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	CHC @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Schanuel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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