Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 1 – May 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

44.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

762

MLB

Top Over

Dominic Canzone

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Otto Lopez

H • -1.4 • 87

Top Fade

Josh Bell

RBI • -1.5 • 55

Top 1

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Otto Lopez

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.4

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.4

Top 5

Trea Turner

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 80 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	2.7	1.5	0.5	96	TOP OVER	+1.2	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.3	1.3	1.7	87	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-1.4	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
4	Shea Langeliers	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.7	1.5	2.1	86	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.4	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
5	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	0.0	0.8	1.3	80	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.3	1.1	3.5	78	UNDER	-0.8	-3.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Leo Jimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	H	1.7	0.6	0.8	73	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	1.0	0.6	0.5	73	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.5	3.5	71	UNDER	-0.5	-3.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.5	2.5	71	UNDER	-0.5	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brent Rooker	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.3	1.0	1.7	71	UNDER	-0.7	-1.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andy Pages	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.7	2.8	68	UNDER	-0.4	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.3	0.7	2.5	68	UNDER	-0.4	-2.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.0	0.3	1.8	66	UNDER	-0.3	-1.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.6	2.0	65	UNDER	-0.3	-1.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Andy Pages	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ramon Laureano	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.0	0.2	1.7	63	UNDER	-0.2	-1.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.0	0.2	1.5	63	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	1.5	63	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	1.5	63	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Juan Soto	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	1.5	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	1.5	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.1	2.5	61	UNDER	-0.1	-2.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	James Outman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.0	0.1	1.8	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.7	0.8	2.2	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	1.8	61	UNDER	-0.2	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.1	1.5	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ozzie Albies	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.4	1.5	61	UNDER	-0.1	-1.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	0.3	0.8	1.5	59	UNDER	-0.5	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.0	0.4	1.2	59	UNDER	-0.4	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.3	0.5	1.7	58	UNDER	-0.2	-1.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.5	2.5	55	FADE OVER	+0.5	-1.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.4	1.7	55	UNDER	-0.1	-1.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Braden Shewmake	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brent Rooker	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Casey Schmitt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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