Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

762

MLB

Top Over

Dominic Canzone

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Otto Lopez

H • -1.4 • 87

Top Fade

Josh Bell

RBI • -1.5 • 55

Top 1

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Otto Lopez

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.4

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.4

Top 5

Trea Turner

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 80 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jarren Duran	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zach Cole ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.7	1.1	1.7	54	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	1.5	54	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.7	0.9	1.8	52	UNDER	-0.2	-1.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	0.3	0.5	1.5	52	UNDER	-0.2	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brent Rooker	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BOS	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Castellanos	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Matthews	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Marcus Semien	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Shaw ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ramon Laureano	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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