Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← May 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1239

MLB

Top Over

Gunnar Henderson

H • +1.6 • 93

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 94

Top Fade

Carson Benge

H • +0.2 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 94 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -0.5

Top 2

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jarren Duran

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Brennan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.2	1.0	47	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ LAA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jarren Duran	3/3	MIN @ BOS	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Manny Machado	3/3	OAK @ SD	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Pete Alonso	3/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	DET @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SD	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.7	1.0	1.5	45	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.7	1.4	0.8	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Masataka Yoshida	3/3	MIN @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.1	1.0	45	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	NYM @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	WSH @ ATL	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Chapman	3/3	CWS @ SF	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	MIN @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	0.3	1.4	0.5	43	UNDER	-1.1	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Braden Shewmake ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly	3/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SD	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarred Kelenic ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	CLE @ PHI	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	HOU @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Cole	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eric Haase ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ SF	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	MIN @ BOS	H	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SF	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ AZ	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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