Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1239

MLB

Top Over

Gunnar Henderson

H • +1.6 • 93

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 94

Top Fade

Carson Benge

H • +0.2 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 94 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -0.5

Top 2

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jarren Duran

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Corbin Carroll	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
J.p. Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Bauers	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Bleday	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Justin Foscue	3/3	TEX @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Arraez	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Mclain	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willson Contreras	3/3	MIN @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.3	1.5	0.7	52	UNDER	-1.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	COL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	MIN @ BOS	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ SD	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ BOS	H	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Bregman	3/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	MIN @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	PIT @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ernie Clement	3/3	PIT @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gage Workman	3/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	DET @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ian Happ ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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