Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← May 23 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1239

MLB

Top Over

Gunnar Henderson

H • +1.6 • 93

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 94

Top Fade

Carson Benge

H • +0.2 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 94 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -0.5

Top 2

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jarren Duran

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Cj Abrams

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	MIN @ BOS	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	STL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	SEA @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sebastian Rivero	3/3	TEX @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sebastian Rivero	3/3	TEX @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	STL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	COL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	PIT @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Benson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	NYM @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	PIT @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Short ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Short ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ BOS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Alonso	3/3	DET @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	WSH @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	1.7	1.4	1.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ CIN	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ LAA	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	HOU @ CHC	H	1.0	0.7	0.9	1	WATCH	+0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ BOS	H	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Will Benson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Short ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ BAL	H	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Rengifo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ TOR	H	1.7	1.5	1.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey	3/3	SEA @ KC	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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