Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← May 25 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1125

MLB

Top Over

Casey Schmitt

RBI • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Spencer Steer

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Casey Schmitt

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Christian Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Alejandro Osuna

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Trent Grisham

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Arraez	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mookie Betts	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	NYY @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tristan Peters	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	COL @ LAD	H	1.7	1.4	0.5	54	OVER	+0.3	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ SF	RBI	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	SEA @ OAK	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ NYM	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	NYY @ KC	H	1.7	1.0	0.9	52	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ BAL	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ OAK	H	0.3	0.7	1.3	50	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.3	0.7	1.3	50	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	CIN @ NYM	H	0.3	0.9	1.1	49	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ OAK	H	0.3	0.9	1.1	49	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brett Baty	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Turang	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Delauter	3/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dansby Swanson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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