Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 12 – May 25 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

39.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1125

MLB

Top Over

Casey Schmitt

RBI • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Spencer Steer

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Casey Schmitt

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Christian Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Alejandro Osuna

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Trent Grisham

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ramon Laureano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ KC	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ KC	H	0.7	0.6	1.3	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	TB @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	MIA @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	COL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	TB @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	CIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	NYY @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Shewmake	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	CIN @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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