Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 19 – May 25 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

31.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1125

MLB

Top Over

Casey Schmitt

RBI • +1.6 • 98

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Spencer Steer

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Casey Schmitt

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Christian Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Alejandro Osuna

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Trent Grisham

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ NYM	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ TOR	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ KC	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ BAL	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ CLE	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ NYM	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Justin Foscue	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	SEA @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.0	1.4	0.9	8	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Collins	3/3	NYY @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	NYY @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	PHI @ SD	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	MIA @ TOR	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Keaschall ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Steven Kwan	3/3	WSH @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Cole ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Springer	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willy Adames	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	1.0	1.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	+0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Susac	3/3	AZ @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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