Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 29 – May 28 →

Wins

112

Losses

164

Push

Win %

40.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

517

MLB

Top Over

Blaze Alexander

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

George Springer

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Willson Contreras

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Blaze Alexander

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Yordan Alvarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Blaze Alexander

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Yordan Alvarez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5

Ian Happ

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	LAA @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward	3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willson Contreras	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cesar Salazar ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Derek Hill	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	ATL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Braden Shewmake	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cesar Salazar ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler O'neill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	LAA @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Burger	3/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Derek Hill	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luisangel Acuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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