Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 29 – May 28 →

Wins

112

Losses

164

Push

Win %

40.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

517

MLB

Top Over

Blaze Alexander

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

George Springer

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Willson Contreras

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Blaze Alexander

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Yordan Alvarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Blaze Alexander

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Yordan Alvarez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5

Ian Happ

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	HOU @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	ATL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Shewmake	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	HOU @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CHC @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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