Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 15 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

895

MLB

Top Over

Nick Fortes

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yandy Diaz

H • -1.0 • 77

Top Fade

Otto Lopez

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Willi Castro

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Byron Buxton

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Kyle Karros

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Troy Johnston

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ LAD	H	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ TEX	H	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	2.3	1.2	0.7	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Noelvi Marte	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Wyatt Langford	3/3	MIN @ TEX	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ CIN	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CIN	RBI	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Donovan Walton	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ LAD	H	0.3	1.4	1.3	77	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	DET @ HOU	H	2.3	1.4	1.3	75	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Isaac Paredes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Mclain	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	James Wood	3/3	KC @ WSH	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	MIA @ PHI	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Wade Meckler	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Isaac Paredes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan Ward	3/3	TB @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rodolfo Duran	3/3	SD @ STL	H	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Rodolfo Duran	3/3	SD @ STL	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Maikel Garcia	3/3	KC @ WSH	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	TB @ LAD	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ TEX	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andy Pages	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ryan Ward	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Tyler Callihan	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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