Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 25 – Jul 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

41.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1224

MLB

Top Over

Tommy Edman

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Jac Caglianone

HR • -1.3 • 97

Top Fade

Cedric Mullins

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Tommy Edman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Javier Sanoja

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 97 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.3

Top 4

Esmerlyn Valdez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Justin Crawford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ TOR	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ KC	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ ATL	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lane Thomas	3/3	TB @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rodolfo Duran ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ CHC	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ BOS	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ CHC	H	1.3	1.3	1.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PIT @ PHI	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack	3/3	MIA @ COL	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	NYM @ TOR	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ COL	H	1.3	1.3	1.5	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ MIL	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	1.0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	SD @ CHC	H	1.3	1.3	1.3	WATCH	+0.0	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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