Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 5 – Jul 18 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

26.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1356

MLB

Top Over

Braden Montgomery

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.2 • 78

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Braden Montgomery

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Drake Baldwin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 87 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Michael Busch

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Tim Tawa

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Jeffers	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	MIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan	3/3	PIT @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	STL @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ AL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	CWS @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Dezenzo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ MIL	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zach Neto	3/3	DET @ LAA	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ CLE	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	CIN @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	TEX @ ATL	H	1.0	0.9	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	WSH @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	PIT @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Lukes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	MIN @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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