Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jul 27 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1095

MLB

Top Over

Rafael Devers

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jacob Wilson

H • -1.3 • 88

Top Fade

Drake Baldwin

H • +0.6 • 24

Top 1

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Munetaka Murakami

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.4

Top 4

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jung Hoo Lee ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	AZ @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	ATL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	AZ @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	MIL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	MIL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chadwick Tromp	3/3	BAL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colby Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	BAL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	MIL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	HOU @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	BAL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	MIL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	BAL @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edwin Arroyo	3/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elias Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CLE @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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