Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cole Carrigg

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Steven Kwan

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ian Happ	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.8	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	MIN @ SEA	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.8	WATCH	0.0	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ TB	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.7	WATCH	+0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ CHC	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade	3/3	CWS @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	0.0	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	1.3	1.3	1.3	WATCH	+0.0	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	STL @ TOR	H	1.3	1.3	1.3	WATCH	+0.0	+0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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