Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 27 – Aug 2 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

45.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Yainer Diaz

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Cole Carrigg

H • -1.5 • 92

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Yainer Diaz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Tyler Tolbert

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Spencer Torkelson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Steven Kwan

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
John Rave	3/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	CWS @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Tolbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Malgeri ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Donovan Walton	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TEX @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Bolte	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL	H	1.3	0.7	1.5	16	FADE OVER	+0.6	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Heim	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	BOS @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	DET @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Arraez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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