Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 21 – Aug 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

53.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

734

MLB

Top Over

Geraldo Perdomo

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Nico Hoerner

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Cam Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Yordan Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 4

Tj Rumfield

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 74 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Ty France

H • OVER
Conf: 69 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.2

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Cam Smith	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	2.3	1.3	1.3	78	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
4	Tj Rumfield	3/3	TB @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
5	Ty France	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	2.3	1.6	1.1	69	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Justin Crawford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	2.3	2.2	0.5	61	OVER	+0.1	+1.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	STL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Lara ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Bauers	3/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	TB @ COL	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Corey Seager	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	George Springer	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Burger	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Taylor Trammell	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Justin Crawford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ COL	H	0.3	0.7	1.3	50	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	2.3	2.1	1.3	49	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ben Rice	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryce Eldridge ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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