Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 28 – Aug 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

734

MLB

Top Over

Geraldo Perdomo

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Nico Hoerner

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Cam Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Yordan Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 4

Tj Rumfield

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 74 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Ty France

H • OVER
Conf: 69 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ian Happ	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jhostynxon Garcia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorbit Vivas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Altuve	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lamonte Wade Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lars Nootbaar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Kepler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nicky Lopez	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Mcmahon	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tim Tawa	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	1.0	1.5	0.5	23	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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