Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 3 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

83.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

734

MLB

Top Over

Geraldo Perdomo

H • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Nico Hoerner

H • +0.5 • 23

Top 1

Geraldo Perdomo

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Cam Smith

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Yordan Alvarez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 78 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 4

Tj Rumfield

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 74 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Ty France

H • OVER
Conf: 69 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cam Smith	3/3	TOR @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ketel Marte	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ COL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	1.3	48	UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.0	0.8	0.5	47	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trea Turner	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	2.0	1.2	1.5	47	OVER	+0.8	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	H	0.0	0.3	0.9	47	UNDER	-0.3	-0.9	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ HOU	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SF @ TEX	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Jordan	3/3	STL @ NYY	H	1.3	0.7	0.8	44	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	TB @ COL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	LAD @ CHC	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willi Castro	3/3	TB @ COL	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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