Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 8 – Aug 6 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

42.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

980

MLB

Top Over

Wilyer Abreu

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Cole Young

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Caleb Durbin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Tim Tawa

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Royce Lewis

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Dansby Swanson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	MIN @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	NYM @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.0	1.3	0.8	4	WATCH	-0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Urias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	1.0	0.7	0.9	1	WATCH	+0.3	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras	3/3	LAA @ BAL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Urias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Sogard	3/3	CWS @ BOS	H	0.7	0.6	0.9	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CIN	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	PIT @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	OAK @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Lowe	3/3	LAA @ BAL	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	MIA @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ CLE	H	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	1.0	1.1	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	H	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.7	0.6	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Harry Ford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	OAK @ CIN	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leo Jimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ KC	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ SEA	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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