Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jul 31 – Aug 6 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

52.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

980

MLB

Top Over

Wilyer Abreu

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Cole Young

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Wilyer Abreu

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Caleb Durbin

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Tim Tawa

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Royce Lewis

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Dansby Swanson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cole Young	3/3	DET @ SEA	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ AZ	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brady House	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	CWS @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	DET @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Polanco ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Arraez	3/3	WSH @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Masataka Yoshida	3/3	CWS @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Mclain	3/3	OAK @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wade Meckler	3/3	LAA @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CLE	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Donovan Walton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Polanco ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras	3/3	LAA @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Noelvi Marte ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ MIL	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	CWS @ BOS	RBI	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ AZ	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	WSH @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	PIT @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio	3/3	CWS @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIA @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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