Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Aug 9 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1343

MLB

Top Over

Chase Meidroth

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Freddie Freeman

H • -1.0 • 74

Top Fade

James Mccann

H • +0.2 • 29

Top 1

Chase Meidroth

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Jake Mccarthy

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Wilyer Abreu

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Andres Gimenez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Nathan Lukes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.2

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	HOU @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	HOU @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	LAA @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ MIL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	TOR @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ PIT	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BAL @ TEX	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	LAA @ MIA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	HOU @ SD	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	LAA @ MIA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack	3/3	LAA @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ MIL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	HOU @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	BAL @ TEX	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ SEA	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Salvador Perez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ KC	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	1.3	22	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ PIT	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PIT	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ STL	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Rengifo	3/3	HOU @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	DET @ SF	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
James Mccann ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	0.7	1.5	0.5	21	FADE UNDER	-0.8	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gleyber Torres	3/3	DET @ SF	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos	3/3	ATL @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ STL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ STL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	HOU @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ PHI	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ SD	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	ATL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	COL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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