Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 3 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

806

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Bryce Eldridge

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Brandon Nimmo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	2.7	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.8	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	2.3	0.9	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TB @ TEX	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	2.7	1.4	0.7	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TB @ TEX	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	TOR @ CLE	H	2.3	1.3	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ KC	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Mookie Betts	3/3	STL @ LAD	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ CLE	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ KC	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	STL @ LAD	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Turner Hill	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	OAK @ SEA	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.6	0.5	83	TOP UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alex Bregman	3/3	MIL @ CHC	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ PIT	HR	1.0	0.6	0.5	73	TOP OVER	+0.4	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	SF @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luis Robert Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BOS @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Turner Hill	3/3	SF @ PIT	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Patrick Bailey	3/3	TOR @ CLE	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ian Happ	3/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Leody Taveras	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	TOR @ CLE	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ CHC	H	2.3	1.6	1.3	62	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ KC	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	2.0	1.2	1.3	61	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Carter Jensen	3/3	MIA @ KC	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	H	1.7	0.9	0.8	58	OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	TOR @ CLE	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ KC	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	George Springer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ian Happ	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Burger	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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