Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Sep 3 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

806

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

HR • -0.5 • 83

Top Fade

Bryce Eldridge

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Brandon Nimmo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Alex Bregman

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Alex Bregman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jonathan Aranda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	MIA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Sogard	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shay Whitcomb ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Mesa Jr.	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	MIA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mookie Betts	3/3	STL @ LAD	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	1.7	1.1	0.8	52	OVER	+0.6	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.4	1.0	52	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy White ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.4	1.0	52	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BOS @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	MIA @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Cavanaugh	3/3	SF @ PIT	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BOS @ BAL	H	1.7	1.2	0.8	50	OVER	+0.5	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ PIT	RBI	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy White ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ SEA	H	0.3	1.0	1.0	49	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	H	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ CLE	H	0.0	0.5	0.8	49	UNDER	-0.5	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andrew Knizner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BOS @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Walker	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cody Freeman	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cole Young	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Gilbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elias Diaz	3/3	TB @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Enrique Hernandez	3/3	STL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	MIA @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jo Adell	3/3	TOR @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Altuve	3/3	CWS @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	OAK @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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