Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 9 – Sep 7 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

39.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

910

MLB

Top Over

Ivan Herrera

RBI • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Alex Bregman

HR • -0.8 • 92

Top Fade

Adley Rutschman

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Ivan Herrera

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Brett Baty

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Elly De La Cruz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Riley Greene

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Christian Koss	3/3	STL @ SF	HR	0.7	0.3	0.8	22	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	STL @ SF	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ KC	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Crow-armstrong ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryce Harper	3/3	ATL @ PHI	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jeff Mcneil	—	TOR @ OAK	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Crow-armstrong ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	CIN @ LAD	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Tommy Edman	3/3	CIN @ LAD	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brooks Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ DET	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Daylen Lile ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ SD	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ KC	H	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Henry Bolte	—	TOR @ OAK	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Luke Keaschall ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ DET	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Turner Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ SF	H	0.7	1.2	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alika Williams	—	TOR @ OAK	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	CLE @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	NYM @ MIA	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Lawrence Butler	—	TOR @ OAK	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Manny Machado	3/3	WSH @ SD	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ DET	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BAL	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Zack Gelof	—	TOR @ OAK	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alika Williams	—	TOR @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	—	TOR @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich	3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ty France	3/3	WSH @ SD	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ernie Clement	—	TOR @ OAK	H	1.0	0.6	1.2	11	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	STL @ SF	HR	1.0	0.6	1.0	11	WATCH	+0.4	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	ARI @ KC	H	1.3	1.0	1.5	8	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ DET	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Coby Mayo	3/3	CLE @ BAL	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jonah Heim	—	TOR @ OAK	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Lawrence Butler	—	TOR @ OAK	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
A.j. Ewing ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYM @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Abimelec Ortiz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	ATL @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	—	TOR @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	CIN @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	CIN @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alika Williams	—	TOR @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	CHC @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Genao ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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