Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

883

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Elly De La Cruz

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.6 • 26

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Josh Naylor

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Graham Pauley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tim Tawa	3/3	MIA @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ NYM	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ AZ	H	1.3	0.9	0.5	48	OVER	+0.4	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	0.3	1.3	0.7	47	UNDER	-1.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ CIN	H	0.3	1.2	0.8	47	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	1.7	1.2	0.9	47	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Max Muncy	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brett Bateman	3/3	DET @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
George Lombard Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Griffin Conine	3/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ NYM	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Encarnacion-strand	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Lombard Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	LAD @ CIN	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Osleivis Basabe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ STL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ AZ	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Turner Hill	3/3	SF @ STL	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xavier Edwards ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ TOR	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	0.3	0.4	1.3	43	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	SEA @ LAA	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Enrique Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	H	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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