Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Aug 16 – Sep 14 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

51.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

883

MLB

Top Over

Randy Arozarena

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Elly De La Cruz

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Elly De La Cruz

H • +0.6 • 26

Top 1

Randy Arozarena

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Josh Naylor

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Graham Pauley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	SEA @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dane Myers	3/3	LAD @ CIN	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ AZ	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Mookie Betts	3/3	LAD @ CIN	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	ATL @ CHC	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Thomas Saggese	3/3	SF @ STL	H	0.7	1.1	0.5	11	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adael Amador	3/3	SD @ COL	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Bryan Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Denzer Guzman	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Trout	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Knizner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Weston Wilson	3/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ MIN	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Bleday	3/3	LAD @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Church	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shay Whitcomb	3/3	SF @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tim Tawa	3/3	MIA @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adael Amador	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Juan Soto	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ COL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Neto	3/3	SEA @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Call ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Callahan	3/3	DET @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dane Myers	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Enrique Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz	3/3	MIA @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddie Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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