Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 21 – Sep 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1338

MLB

Top Over

Brayan Rocchio

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Pete Crow-armstrong

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Nolan Arenado

H • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jeremy Pena

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Lucas Spence

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Lucas Spence

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Geraldo Perdomo

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nelson Velazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	ARI @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Gorman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Osleivis Basabe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samad Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Scott Bandura	3/3	LAD @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Scott Bandura	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shay Whitcomb	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Bericoto	3/3	LAD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yainer Diaz	3/3	HOU @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	H	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Clark	3/3	PIT @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	TB @ PHI	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis	3/3	TEX @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brett Bateman	3/3	CIN @ TOR	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.7	0.9	0.9	4	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	HOU @ OAK	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Lawlar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	COL @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Turner Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SF	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adael Amador	3/3	COL @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Bolte	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonah Heim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ OAK	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ MIA	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brenton Doyle	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eduardo Valencia	3/3	PIT @ DET	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ CWS	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SD	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	R	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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