Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 18 – Oct 1 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

45.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

100

MLB

Top Over

Michael Harris Ii

TB • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Bryan De La Cruz

TB • -1.2 • 26

Top 1

Michael Harris Ii

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Michael Harris Ii

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Drake Baldwin

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Edmundo Sosa

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Bryce Harper

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	3.3	1.0	1.5	100	TOP OVER	+2.3	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	2.7	1.6	0.7	94	TOP OVER	+1.1	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Edmundo Sosa	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	3.0	0.9	1.5	90	TOP OVER	+2.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	3.0	1.0	1.5	89	TOP OVER	+2.0	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.7	0.8	1.5	78	TOP OVER	+1.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.3	0.7	1.5	58	OVER	+1.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.3	1.1	1.5	51	OVER	+1.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	2.0	0.6	1.5	46	OVER	+1.4	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Edmundo Sosa	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Drake Baldwin	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Dominic Smith	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.7	33	OVER	+0.5	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
	Bryan De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.3	0.1	1.5	26	FADE OVER	+0.2	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Matt Olson	3/3	PHI @ ATL	TB	0.3	0.2	1.5	24	FADE OVER	+0.1	-1.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
	Bryan De La Cruz	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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