Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 20 – Oct 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

398

MLB

Top Over

Ben Rice

TB • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Jonathan Aranda

HR • -1.0 • 82

Top Fade

Sean Murphy

TB • -2.0 • 57

Top 1

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Xander Bogaerts

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	1.0	19	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	1.0	0.3	1.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.7	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.1	0.9	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.1	0.9	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.9	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.9	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ LAD	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	0.7	0.6	1.5	15	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andy Pages	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TB	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mookie Betts	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	TB	1.3	0.4	1.5	14	FADE OVER	+0.9	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.0	1.4	0.7	14	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.3	1.0	14	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.7	0.2	0.9	14	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Lara ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mauricio Dubon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Richie Palacios	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Edman	3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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