Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Sep 4 – Oct 3 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

398

MLB

Top Over

Ben Rice

TB • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Jonathan Aranda

HR • -1.0 • 82

Top Fade

Sean Murphy

TB • -2.0 • 57

Top 1

Ben Rice

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Xander Bogaerts

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 3

Brayan Rocchio

TB • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Brice Turang

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jackson Chourio	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	1.7	0.5	2.8	41	FADE OVER	+1.2	-1.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	2.0	0.6	1.8	39	OVER	+1.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	0.3	0.4	1.5	39	UNDER	-0.1	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Lombard Jr.	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	R	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	NYY @ TB	H	1.3	0.8	0.9	38	OVER	+0.5	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.7	1.4	1.0	38	OVER	+0.3	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.7	36	OVER	+0.2	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.7	35	OVER	+0.6	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ethan Salas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.3	0.9	0.9	35	OVER	+0.4	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dustin Harris	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ MIL	R	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	ATL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.7	35	UNDER	-0.1	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Teel	3/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	ATL @ LAD	TB	1.7	0.5	1.5	34	OVER	+1.2	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TB	H	0.7	1.3	0.9	34	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ LAD	H	0.7	1.3	0.9	34	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Edman	3/3	ATL @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.7	34	UNDER	-0.5	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.3	1.2	0.7	34	OVER	+0.1	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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